The 21st Bundesliga game day last weekend could have run from the point of view of Bayern hardly better. While the record champions celebrated the eighth win of the last nine league games with the unscathed 3-1 against their home crowd against FC Schalke 04, both Borussia Dortmund (3: 3 against Hoffenheim), and Borussia Mönchengladbach (0: 3 against Hertha BSC) are important points. The Kovac-Elf climbed back into second place and is now only five points behind the yellow-black leader. The next compulsory task is already on Friday evening, because then the Munich in the small south summit at FC Augsburg guest. There is no doubt that the current table runner could face real problems against one of the – statistically – dearest opponents.
Although the FCA landed in the last home game against Mainz a liberation and a few days later in the DFB Cup made the entry into the quarter-finals, the emerging euphoria was choked in the last week in the chance 0: 4 in Bremen in the bud. The team of coach Manuel Baum remains one of the hottest relegation candidates this season and is therefore in the encounter Augsburg vs. Bayern treated according to the odds as a blatant underdog. Hope makes the view of the hosts at least the fact that in the first leg in the Allianz Arena a sensational 1: 1 reached. Of the uncomfortable playing style of the Fuggerstädter in recent seasons, however, was little to see, so between Augsburg and Bayern, the prediction clearly aimed at a tip in favor of the big FCB. Should Robert Lewandowski and Co. keep the focus just a few days before the Champions League crash in Liverpool, nothing would stand in the way of a sovereign away win in the top German league.
Being a fan of FC Augsburg is not easy these days and weeks. Including the two failures for the second half of the season in the new year at home against Dusseldorf and Mönchengladbach, the Fuggerstädter remained in the Bundesliga in a total of ten consecutive matches without a win. For this reason, it must have seemed like a relief to the players and the coaching staff, when this series was finished with the 3-0 home win before now almost two weeks against Mainz. The Südschwaben were followed by an away win in Kiel in the DFB Pokal and seemed to be well on the way out of the crisis, but then came the match at Werder Bremen. Once again, the tree-elf had high hopes to take something countable, especially as the Bremen had to complete an intensive 120 minutes in Dortmund during the week, however, the FCA did not enter the match at all and ended up completely deservedly with 0: 4 under the wheels , In the ranking, the Red-Green-Whites are still in 15th place and are currently three points ahead of the relegation place. Due to the success of the Hannoverians vs Nuremberg but even the first relegation rank is only four points away. The fear of descent around the WWK Arena is palpable and for good reason.
Whether it is just in the context of the 22. Spieltag at home against Bayern succeed a surprise coup may be doubted from several aspects. For one thing, the Augsburg have never remained unbeaten in a Bundesliga season in return match against the record champions. On the other hand, the home side have the weakest Friday balance among all 18 first division. From 19 matches on a Friday brought the Fugger city just a single threesome, which is also seven years back. There are already eleven defeats and seven points. In addition, the FCA in the highest German league has never managed to score more than one goal against Munich. Overall, the Underdog comes in 19 competitive games only on ten own hits. Although the basement child conceded only one of the four home defeats (two wins, four draws, 17: 16 goals) with more than one goal difference (1: 3 against Frankfurt) in the course of this season, on Friday evening between Augsburg and Bayern offers the prediction on an away win with at least two hits difference the most promising value.
The last so vulnerable defensive, which has never been less than two goals conceded in five of the past six Bundesliga matches, will face great problems against the strong FCB offensive, especially since the staff situation must also be considered. Framberger, Gouweleeuw, Schieber, Jakob, Luthe and top scorer Finnbogason are injured due to not available. Daniel Baier has to watch his fifth yellow card. The stakes of Koo, Hahn and Moravek are questionable.
Expected formation of Augsburg:
Kobel – Oxford, Danso, Stafylidis – J. Schmid, Max – Khedira, Fe. Götze – Ji – Gregory, Cordova
Last matches from Augsburg:
Before the eagerly awaited first knockout round first leg in the UEFA Champions League between Liverpool and Bayern is scheduled for next week, the German record holder has a compulsory task to complete on Friday night. In the clash between Augsburg and Bayern, the odds imply a pronounced role of favorites of the table second, who actually should actually have the advantages on his side in all matters. The only risk that we want to address at this point is the mental component, because if the charges of Niko Kovac head with the King class crash, the encounter in the Fugger city, as in the first leg, could be a test of patience develop. In terms of form, however, the concerns are limited, after all, celebrated the Munich from the recent nine games in the league eight wins.
In the stranger, the FCB presented in the sum even more than in front of home crowd. With eight wins from eleven appearances (three defeats), the reigning German champions currently represents the best away team in the Bundesliga. Not a single team scored more goals than Bayern, who also scored six of the eight wins with more than one goal difference. Also worth mentioning is the fact that FC Augsburg is a kind of favorite opponent of the series champion of recent years. In the Bundesliga Bayern won twelve of the 15 matches against the Red-Green-White and lost only twice. In both bankruptcies, however, the Munich were already determined as a master. Even the top scorer of Rangnweiten, Robert Lewandowski, meets against the Fugger city especially like. In 13 games for BVB and FCB, the Polish attacker against the FCA 18 hits. If Lewandowski double hit on Friday, he would also take the lead in the category, best foreign scorers in Bundesliga history ‘. In duel Augsburg vs Bayern are the odds for Lewandowski as the scorers, however, on a odds 1.33.
Niko Kovac still has to do without Corentin Tolisso and Arjen Robben. The French, like the Dutchman, are making great strides, but a 22nd match day is still too early for both of them. Whether the former Frankfurt coach in view of the Champions League duel in Anfield gives one or the other actor a breather, will be known only in the short term, but have no effect on our Augsburg vs Bayern prediction in favor of the favorite.
Expected formation of Bavaria:
New – Kimmich, Sole, Hummels, Alaba – Thiago, Goretzka – Gnabry, James, Coman – Lewandowski
Last matches of Bayern:
We limit the head-to-head to the 15 Bundesliga duels between Augsburg and Bayern. Twelve of these 15 matches (80%) went to the Munich team, who lost their only two defeats to the FCA when they were already known as German champions. The only draw of these teams was there in the first round, as calculated the ex-Bayer Felix Götze in the final phase of the draw to 1-1 final score. Previously, the Kovac Elf had plenty of chances to decide negligent or forgiven.
The FC Augsburg has lost in recent weeks and months, the aggressiveness and grip in the duels something. Actually, the Fuggerstädter always presented in the past as an uncomfortable opponent, but it hailed in part also significant defeats, which aim that the team is unsure and has to fight with itself. A home game against FC Bayern comes naturally at an inopportune, because only one of the youngest eleven Bundesliga games could decide the FCA for themselves. The Munich, however, won eight of their last nine games in the league. In the duel between Augsburg vs Bayern, the prediction must therefore be met in the direction of Kovac Elf.
Augsburg has conceded at least two goals in five of their last six games
The Bayern won six of their eight away wins in the league with more than one goal difference
Twelve of fifteen duels in the Bundesliga went to FCB, nine of them with a (-1.5) handicap
Six of the eight away wins in the current season celebrated the table second with more than one goal difference. In fact, the record champions the best away team in the league, which also scored the most hits. Also noteworthy is the fact that the Red-Green-Whites have to do without numerous top performers and also lost twelve of the 15 Bundesliga duels. In sum, we decide between Augsburg and Bayern for the tip to strong odds of 1.77 that the favorite wins the match with at least two goals difference. How small our doubts are becomes clear from the effort we choose confidently with eight out of ten possible units.
Prediction Today: win Bayern (-1.5)
Odds: 1.77
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