Does a mature Sascha qualify for the grand finale?
Competition: Pablo Carreno Busta – Alexander Zverev
Competition: US Open 2020
Date: 11.09.2020
Betting Tips Alexander Zverev First Set
Odds: 1.44
Stake: 5/10 units
For the first time since Boris Becker in 1995, Alexander Zverev is a German among the top four athletes in the men’s singles at the US Open. There the superstar will not meet the top favorite Novak Djokovic, but his conqueror Pablo Carreno Busta, who benefited from a disqualification of the Serbian with a score of 6: 5 in the first set.
This is one of the reasons why the bookmakers’ odds are in the direction of the German in the run-up to the Spanish-German semi-final between Carreno Busta and Zverev.
After all, at Carreno Busta against Zverev, the prediction must also include the performance in 2020 and the “head to head” comparison. The only duel went 2-0 to Sascha, who was also among the top four players at the Australian Open 2020. His Spanish opponent reached the semifinals in Flushing Meadows three years ago, but most recently won mainly in doubles.
Nevertheless, we trust him to deliver a hot dance to the German favorite and to win at least one set. Thus, at Carreno Busta against Zverev, we recommend the tip that at least four sentences are required to choose the finalist.
🎾 Current placement in the world rankings: 27
🎾 Position in the seeding list: 20
The 29-year-old Spaniard Pablo Carreno Busta celebrates – that much is already clear when he makes it to the semifinals – at the most important tennis tournament in New York City, the return to the top 20 of the ATP world rankings. Three years ago, when he was one of the top four athletes in the men’s singles at Flushing Meadows, he was even able to climb to tenth place.
Should he make it to the final, a jump to eleventh place would be possible. If he even wins his first individual Grand Slam, he would be number eight in the world in the future. Mind games that shouldn’t matter to him in the run-up to this semi-final.
Is Carreno Bosta taking his fourth chance at the final?
For the player from Gijón, who has only won four individual titles on the ATP World Tour in his career, the only thing that counts now is not to let this great chance slip by again.
At the US Open 2017 as well as the Indian Wells Masters 2017 and Miami Masters 2018, he had already advanced to the semifinals in three major tournaments. In all three cases, he failed with a two-set difference – most recently in Miami 2018 even against his current opponent Alexander Zverev.
After a shaky start, now fully arrived at the tournament
It can be clearly stated that Pablo Carreno Busta, who won the doubles with Alex de Minaur at the Western & Southern Open also held in New York City before the US Open, bit his way into the tournament after a difficult start. After the comeback in the opening game, he won two games 3-0 before he benefited from his disqualification in the scandalous game against the Djoker. But he kept up with this game too.
Most recently, he showed strong nerves in the 3-2 win over the up-and-coming Denis Shapovalov and won the game after going 6-0 in the fourth set.
🎾 Current placement in the world rankings: 7
🎾 Position in the seeding list: 5
As at the Australian Open 2020, 23-year-old German Alexander Zverev is among the top four players. He is the first German in 25 years to achieve this feat.
This should also reduce the voices that criticized the player, who has already won four major tournaments in his career and even became world champion in 2018, for his often weak performances at the Grand Slam tournaments.
Strong nerves in the tie-breaks at Zverev
The way he fought his way back against Borna Coric in the quarter-finals is impressive.
After Sascha went down 1: 6 in the first set and was also 2: 4 behind in the second set, he got the switch and celebrated a big comeback to a 3: 1 victory.
In particular, his strong nerves in the tie-breaks were convincing. The German finally lost two of the three tie-breaks in the previous rounds, who also gambled away the finals of the Australian Open 2020 primarily in the tie-breaks.
Won seven of his previous eleven semi-finals in major tournaments
While Zverev in Melbourne finally failed 3-1 to Dominic Thiem in the semi-finals despite a 1-0 lead, the task now is to learn from this experience and to do better this time.
At Carreno Busta against Zverev, a tip on the German’s first entry into the final is quite consistent. In contrast to his Spanish opponent, Sascha was already in the grand finals in seven major tournaments. He has survived the previous eleven semi-finals at major level seven.
Head to head: 0: 1
There was already a duel between the two athletes in the semi-finals of the Miami Masters 2018. Sascha won 2-0 and made it into the final, which he lost 2-1 to John Isner.
Direct Matches – Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alexander Zverev
Miami Open
03/31 2018 Male single – semifinals
🇪🇸 Pablo Carreno – 6 (4) – 2 – 0
🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev 6 – 7 (7) – 2
With Carreno Busta against Zverev, the prediction of the outcome of the game is not that easy. Because of its more successful history, the trend is clearly in the direction of the significantly higher-ranking German. The Spaniard presented himself very well recently after a difficult start and should not be underestimated.
Odds probabilities for victory Pablo Carreno Busta / victory Alexander Zverev:
1: 27% 2: 73%
Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alexander Zverev – Betting odds & other interesting bets at a glance:
First set – winner
🎾 Betting Tips: Carreno Busta
📌 Odds: 2.62
🎾 Betting Tips: Zverev
📌 Odds: 1.44
🎾 Zverev won the only duel against Carreno Busta 2-0
🎾 Carreno Busta is in the semi-finals of the US Open for the second time since 2017
🎾 Zverev is the first German in the US Open semi-finals since Boris Becker (1995)
With Carreno Busta against Zverev, the tip that both players win at least one set and the game will be decided in the fourth set at the earliest seems more sustainable to us.
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