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It’s a big ask, but Atletico Madrid still have hopes of catching up with Barcelona in the race for the La Liga (LL) title. Anything less than a victory over Leganes will surely spell the end of that race, but the hosts should be feeling confident.
Atletico are unbeaten in 12 games at Wanda Metropolitano (W8, D4). They have also won their last seven games in all competitions, scoring 17 and conceding just three.
Leganes find themselves cosy in the mid-table, with a 11-point cushion over the bottom three, but only five points behind seventh-placed Celta Vigo. However, a winless run of five games (D2, L3) means that they come into this game with more unsolved questions than ambitions to move up.
Atletico have been the most frugal team in LL conceding just 11 goals in 25 games, with that sequence including 16 shutouts. Astonishingly, they conceded more than over 1.5 goals in only two of those 25 games (8%).
The visitors have struggled for goals – seven out of their 13 away games (54%) and four out of their last five games (80%) have seen Leganes fail to find the back of the net.
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Atletico will hope for more fireworks from Antoine Griezmann, who has six goals and two assists in his last six league games.
Stopping him will be mainly down to veteran Leganes defender Martin Mantovani, who is averaging 5.2 clearances per game.
Atletico have conceded eight of their 11 goals (73%) in the second half, which should suit Leganes, as they scored 16 of their 21 goals (76%) in the second half.
Eighteen out of 25 Atletico’s games (72%) have had under 2.5 match goals.
Leganes are winless in nine away games (D3, L6), with their last coming in September 2017.
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Atletico Madrid vs Leganes : Over 2.5 goals