Brentford vs Fulham Betting Predictions and Odds
Duel of millions at Wembley! Who will secure the last PL ticket?
Teams: Brentford – Fulham
Competition: Championship play-off final
Date: 04.08.2020
Betting Tips Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.25
Stake: 6/10 units
Last weekend, the Gunners secured their last Europa League ticket in English football with a derby victory in the FA Cup final. The last participant for the upcoming Premier League season 2020/21 will be determined on Tuesday evening. The Championship Playoff Final traditionally takes place at Wembley, with Brentford and Fulham facing each other on Tuesday.
The promotion to the Premier League is not only a huge success in terms of sport, but due to the lush TV contract, the two teams are facing additional revenue of around EUR 200 million. But it is not the sporting and financial aspect that gives the game explosiveness, but also the geographical proximity. Brentford and Fulham are both in west London, the distance between the two boroughs is just under six miles.
Brentford – Statistics & current form
Within a few days, head coach Thomas Frank’s Bees threatened to frivolously gamble away an outstanding season. The direct promotion to the Premier League was missed in the last two league games, both against Stoke City and against Barnsley Brentford suffered two bitter defeats, one win would have been enough to secure the first Premier League ticket.
Home strength ensures participation in the final
But not only the last two games in the regular season were lost, but Brentford also suffered a defeat in the first leg against Swansea in the semi-finals of the play-offs. The dream of returning to the English football upper house (most recently in 1947) seemed to finally burst. Thanks to a furious start in the second leg, the course was set early for the final game at Wembley Stadium.
Once again, the outstanding offensive (with 80 goals the best attack department in the championship) made the difference. Just in time for moving into the new Brentford Community Stadium (after 116 years in Griffin Park), the promotion to the Premier League could now be a success.
The key to success? Statistics!
The success of bees – as Brentford’s nickname is – has its origins in statistics. Club owner Matthew Benham was formerly Vice President of Bank of America and then earned millions in betting with his analytical and mathematical system. Not only in England but also with the Danish champions Midtjylland, he is the strong man.
Based on the film “Moneyball”, the players are committed according to their statistics. An unusual system in football that has been practiced in baseball for decades.
Before the final, the statistics speak for Brentford. Better offensive (80:64 goals), better defense (38:48 goals conceded), more wins (24:23), and above all an outstanding offensive trio with Watkins (25 goals), Benrahma (17 goals), and Mbeumo (15 goals). Based on these figures, a prediction in the direction of the “Bees” is an obvious option between Brentford and Fulham.
The probable lineup of Brentford:
↳ Raya – Henry, Pinnock, Jansson, Dalsgaard – Marcondes, Nörgaard, Jensen – Benrehma, Watkins, Mbeumo
Last games from Brentford:
Championship play-off
⚽️ 07/29 2020 Brentford 3 – 1 Swansea
⚽️ 07/26 2020 Swansea 1 – 0 Brentford
Championship
⚽️ 07/22 2020 Brentford 1 – 2 Barnsley
⚽️ 07/18 2020 Stoke 1 – 0 Brentford
⚽️ 07/15 2020 Brentford 1 – 0 Preston
Fulham – Statistics & current form
After relegation from the Premier League, the club still receives high income from the TV contract in the following years, but it can always be seen that the clubs are extremely difficult in the tough championship. It is not uncommon to see that a team from the Premier League is ranked in League One.
The cornerstone of the play-offs is laid in Craven Cottage
However, the people in charge of the Cottagers managed to keep a large part of the team together and the Scott Parker team oriented towards the upper midfield early on. Fulham has been on a play-off course since matchday 17, and the direct climb to fourth place in the championship table was ultimately missed by two points.
15 of the 23 wins of the season were celebrated in Fulham’s home at Craven Cottage, while abroad there were far too many points (ten). The play-off semi-final provided another picture. In the relegation duel with Cardiff City, Fulham celebrated a 2-0 away win and was, therefore, able to afford a 1-2 home defeat and continue to dream of a direct return to the Premier League.
Mitrovic is a race against time
While the Bees can draw from the full in the million-dollar game, Fulham again threatens to have to do without the most important player. Serbian team player Aleksandr Mitrovic became the top scorer of the championship with 26 goals but missed the two playoff games due to an ankle injury.
Scott Parker was cautiously optimistic about a Tuesday night assignment. However, it is also possible that Mitrovic as a joker makes the difference in the final phase. In any case, his retirement would be a bitter setback that would make a bet on the Cottagers between Brentford and Fulham not recommendable.
The probable lineup of Fulham:
↳ Rodak – Bryan, Ream, Hector, Christie – Reed, Cairney – Kebano, Onomah, Knockaert – Reid
Last games from Fulham:
Championship play-off
⚽️ 07/30 2020 Fulham 1 – 2 Cardiff
⚽️ 07/27 2020 Cardiff 0 – 2 Fulham
Championship
⚽️ 07/22 2020 Wigan 1 – 1 Fulham
⚽️ 07/18 2020 Fulham 5 – 3 Sheffield Wednesday
⚽️ 07/14 2020 West Bromwich Albion 0 – 0 Fulham
Brentford vs Fulham Direct comparison
The derby in West London has been playing 29 times so far – most of the games date back to the 20th century. In the past, teams faced each other in the championship between 2014/15 and 2017/18, with the Cottagers celebrating just one win.
Fulham couldn’t celebrate a point or a goal against Brentford this season. The Bees prevailed 1-0 (at home) and 2-0 (away).
Brentford vs Fulham Betting Odds Comparison – Championship Playoff Final
🔹 Betting Prediction: Brentford
🔸 Odds: 2.1
🔹 Betting Prediction: Draw
🔸 Odds: 3.3
🔹 Betting Prediction: Fulham
🔸 Odds: 3.75
Brentford vs Fulham Statistics highlights
Latest matches between Brentford vs Fulham
Championship
⚽️ 06/20 2020 Fulham 0-2 Brentford
⚽️ 12/14 2019 Brentford 1 – 0 Fulham
⚽️ 04/14 2018 Fulham 1 – 1 Brentford
⚽️ 12/02 2017 Brentford 3 – 1 Fulham
⚽️ 04/29 2017 Fulham 1 – 1 Brentford
⚽️ 11/04 2016 Brentford 0-2 Fulham
⚽️ 04/30 2016 Brentford 3 – 0 Fulham
⚽️ 12/12 2015 Fulham 2 – 2 Brentford
⚽️ 04/03 2015 Fulham 1 – 4 Brentford
⚽️ 11/21 2014 Brentford 2 – 1 Fulham
Capital One Cup
⚽️ 08/26 2014 Brentford 0 – 1 Fulham
Club friendlies
⚽️ 07/14 2010 Brentford 0 – 5 Fulham
Brentford vs Fulham Betting Predictions and Odds Provided by PicksSoccer Experts
No matter how the game turns out on Tuesday evening, London will get further reinforcements in the English football upper house next season. The neighborhood duel is about several million euros and accordingly, the pressure is on the shoulders of both teams. The favorite role in the three-way market between Brentford and Fulham is reassigned according to current Brentford odds, which seems quite realistic.
Odds probabilities for win Brentford / draw / win Fulham:
1: 47% X: 29% 2: 24%
Brentford vs Fulham Betting odds & other interesting bets at a glance:
🔹 Betting Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
🔸 Odds: 2.20
🔹 Betting Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
🔸 Odds: 1.66🔹 Betting Prediction: Both teams to score/ YES
🔸 Odds: 1.90
🔹 Betting Prediction: Both teams to score/ NO
🔸 Odds: 1.80
Key Facts – Brentford vs Fulham tips
⭐️ 70 years ago, Brentford last played in the top league
⭐️ Brentford won both games in the regular season – without conceding a goal
⭐️ The Cottagers tremble for top scorer Mitrovic in the decisive duel
However, in the last two games of the season, Brentford has shown that great pressure can have an inhibiting effect. Based on these findings, the focus between Brentford and Fulham is on a tip on the over / under goal market. Brentford has the best offensive in the league and Fulham is hoping for the top scorer’s comeback – so many goals come as no surprise.
A fundamentally more defensive attitude than usual is quite conceivable for the teams, as there is a lot at stake. Nevertheless, the offensive game is the showpiece of the Bees and you don’t want to rob yourself of this strength.
