Desportivo das Aves vs Tondela Football Prediction
Well, in this game odds opened in the line of the projection that had done I had already referenced it in the topic about Liga NOS, which looked forward to the opening of the odds, since there could be a window of opportunity here, especially for the important absences of Desportivo das Aves.
However, in the game of his opponent Ricardo Costa was also expelled, which again composed this potential opportunity.
After this introductory note I think interesting step to talk about the performance of the two teams in the first round.
The Desportivo das Aves was far below what was expected.
Of course one team plays what the other allows, and the Vitória de Setúbal proved what we have expected of it. You breathe confidence and you have substance to make a much more rested time than last year.
Of course, the expulsion of Falcão, when falling from the cloth in the first time, ended up to strongly condition the ability of reaction of the Avenses.
Even so, for anyone who saw the game there is to be remarked that already by then Victory was in advantage and had clearly been the best team on the pitch.
In fact, the expulsion of Falcão showed the anxiety and the capacity of impotence of the Desportivo of the Birds for not being able to impose its game.
Jorge Felipe was the first aid of the team of José Mota, almost always in the right place, very strong physically, and ended up having to resort to harder faults, which led to expulsion.
Nélson Lenho has difficulties in closing the left flank, also fruit of his veteran, Rodrigo did not have the best support of Amilton and had many difficulties in securing the invading opponents, and in the kernel Falcão and Vítor Gomes did not arrive for the orders.
In short a very limited Aves, much less cohesively defensively and the two men who lost will miss much.
Tondela lost at home, but confirmed to be one of the most accurate teams of this League NOS.
The way they play oscillates very little throughout the season. A well-organized team defensively, which uses simple processes, and has quality players, and that in my opinion even something overrated.
I speak, for example of Miguel Cardoso who is a “little ace”, and even Tomané and Murillo who are above average players in this Tondela.
Arango also brings a tremendous quality in this ability that Tondela has to change the ball quickly, to leave the pressure zones, and he himself was close to the goal, denied by Muriel.
That is, without extending me much more, nor to repeat myself, Tondela lost, but was much better than the Belenenses, and the result could be totally different.
I also said that, and I would like to point out that the Tondela at home is more exposed, and this can be confirmed throughout the season.
In anticipation of this game and having here fair lines, I will be faithful to what I have seen and analyzed. The Tondela, same as visitor is not inferior to this Desportivo das Aves.
I know how well the José Mota teams are, how strong they are at home, but only for this reason do I agree with the (-0.25) that the bookies have pitched in the opening odds.
When I made my lines, I even thought I would put the line in the (0), but then I would be ignoring the Aves home factor, beyond the reaction that is expected, after the defeat in the first round since he now plays at home.
Thus, I anticipate a very balanced game, as far as victory is concerned, precisely because I believe very much in the ability that this Tondela has to score, and by the consistent way it presents itself outside the home.
But also in the goal market, with the need that the Aves have to win, and the Tondela in creating dangerous situations, also the over 2 seems to me a bet with a good level of protection.
Whoever accompanies my work knows that I do not support my analyzes in statistics, but much more in the qualitative part of what I see in games.
But even so, I had the curiosity to see and in the last two meetings gave under and favorable result to the Tondela.
However, we must consider who the coaches were at these meetings, and only the latter was with the same players of this time:
Direct clashes: Desportivo das Aves vs Tondela
09.12.17 PL Aves Tondela 0: 1
21.12.14 SL Aves Tondela 0: 1
11.12.13 SL Aves Tondela 1: 0
27.10.12 SL Aves Tondela 0: 2
To bet on the over 2 in this game, would be to bet a lot for “void”, because the two coaches know that both teams are based on a good defensive organization, and the important absences of both Jorge Felipe and Falcao and Ricardo Costa will require more care in the offensive developments.
Thus, seeing value in these two markets (both teams to score) and in the double possibility for the Tondela, I will opt for the latter, since I consider the bet more propitious according to what the teams are producing at the moment.
Get complete stats for Desportivo das Aves vs Tondela H2H
One last note for the changes that are anticipated in the Desportivo das Aves.
Carlos Ponck is expected to be the natural substitute to render Jorge Felipe, and thus the pair with Diego Galo will be reissued, which was the pair most used in the Aves 2017-2018.
In the heart, the options are bigger, with Bura, Rúben Oliveira and Doua, being the Portuguese one that I consider better put to render the punished Falcão.
Betting Tip: Tondela wins or ties
Odds: 1.58
