How much risk does BVB take in the first leg? Here is our Dortmund vs PSG Betting Predictions and Odds – Champions League 2020
Football fans have been looking forward to the continuation of the 2019/2020 Champions League season for two months. Next Tuesday it’s finally here! From a German point of view, a treat awaits, because in the second round of the first leg Thomas Tuchel is eagerly awaiting the return to the Ruhr.
Dortmund vs PSG Betting Predictions and Odds
The now 46-year-old soccer teacher won the last big title for Borussia in 2017 with the DFB Cup, but then had to leave due to persistent disagreements with the top club.
Tuchel has been in charge in the French capital since 2018 and is currently under a lot of pressure. A renewed early exit in the round of the last 16 of the premier class would probably cost the Swabian his job.
In our first round of 16 analysis after the drawing of the pointer between Dortmund and PSG according to the odds was still quite clear in the direction of the star ensemble from Paris, the two clubs have come closer to each other after the recent impressions.
On the one hand, this is due to the fact that after the winter break, the black and yellow mostly drew attention to themselves with grandiose offensive fireworks. On the other hand, also because the guests messed up the dress rehearsal and may also have to do without their ailing superstar Neymar. In addition, it should not be entirely overlooked that the Bundesliga club is still unbeaten in the current season in front of their home crowd.
In connection with the fact that the French have already sailed in the round of 16 in the past three seasons, it might make sense on Tuesday evening in Signal-Iduna Park to venture a tip on the host before the duel Dortmund against PSG.
Alternatively, we recommend live betting that could sweeten your football evening. If you need further information in this regard, we have summarized all live betting articles here.
Dortmund – Statistics & current form
It was already clear from the second place in the preliminary round that a difficult opponent would be waiting for Borussia Dortmund in the round of the UEFA Champions League. However, the fact that two matches against Paris St. Germain are now pending should have given those responsible in the Ruhrpott one or two sleepless nights.
Not only because Thomas Tuchel, a former Dortmund coach, now has sporting responsibility for the French industry leader, but also because the Seine star ensemble has one of the strongest and, above all, fastest offensives in Europe.
Dortmund must get a grip on the guests’ high-speed offensive
Anyone who has observed BVB in the past weeks and months will have seen that Mats Hummels, Dan-Axel Zagadou or Manuel Akanji’s own defensive usually has problems when it encounters teams with high-speed players.
Milot Rashica (Werder Bremen) presented the black and yellow with problems as did Kevin Volland or Leon Bailey from Bayer Leverkusen. It’s hard to imagine when Kylian Mbappé, Neymar, Angel di Maria or Mauro Icardi suddenly step into the sacred green in front of the “yellow wall” in Signal Iduna Park on Tuesday evening.
BVB relies on its own offensive strength
As is so often the case, there is of course the downside of the medal, which is positive in this case, because the offensive of the Favre team is currently in top shape. Borussia was the first Bundesliga team to score five goals in three consecutive games at the start of the second half of the season. Sancho, Haaland and colleagues were also convincing in the defeat in Leverkusen (3: 4) and in the dress rehearsal against Frankfurt (4: 0) on Friday.
22 goals in the last five Bundesliga games are a terrific value, which should give the Westphalians courage, self-confidence and confidence for the top class highlight.
“Paris is one of the best teams in the world. But we cannot hide and become passive. We have to keep playing and pushing forward and going into the game with confidence. ” – Emre Can
In any case, the 2013 finalist has no need to hide, because the black and yellow have been unbeaten at home since April 2019 and also made a goalless draw in the Barcelona group phase.
Because between Dortmund and PSG the favorite role according to the odds goes to the guests from France, the Borussia can play relatively free. Nevertheless, Lucien Favre will warn his protected against taking too much risk in order not to lose all chances for the quarter-finals in the first leg in front of their home crowd.
French opponents as a good omen for the Bundesliga club
Although the ball game club has always made it into the round of sixteen in six of the last seven cases, the Ruhrpottler have won only four of their last eleven Champions League matches, three of them in the current season. At home, the record is five wins, three draws and five bankruptcies in the past 13 matches.
However, the fact that BVB prevailed against French opponents in the European Cup in three out of five cases and only two out of ten games in front of their own fans against teams from the country of the reigning world champion is more positive.
A good omen for the Westphalia to move back into the round of eight for the first time since 2016/2017? Julian Brandt, Marco Reus and Thomas Delaney are three potential regular players who definitely leave a gap.
Probable lineup of Dortmund:
↳ Bürki – Piszczek, Hummels, Zagadou – Hakimi, Witsel, Can, Guerreiro – Sancho, T. Hazard – Haaland
Last matches from Dortmund:
⚽️ 02/14/2020 – Dortmund vs. Frankfurt 4: 0 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 08.02.2020 – Leverkusen vs. Dortmund 4: 3 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 02/04/2020 – Werder Bremen vs. Dortmund 3: 2 (DFB Cup)
⚽️ 02/01/2020 – Dortmund vs. Union Berlin 5: 0 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 24.01.2020 – Dortmund vs. Köln 5: 1 (Bundesliga)
PSG – Statistics & current form
For Paris St. Germain, the 2019/2020 season is just beginning with the Champions League round of 16. Without sounding too disrespectful to the national competition or the preliminary round opponents of the capital city club, the matches completed in the domestic league, the cup competitions or the premier class group phase were just the easy gallop for the knockout phase.
In 2011, Qatari sheiks took over the Paris Saint-Germain Football Club, which was in crisis at the time, and wanted to make it the winner of the Henkelpott within five years with plenty of financial support. This short-term goal can now be beaten into the proverbial ton and yet the entrepreneurs continue to dream of a really big coup.
After Carlo Ancelotti, Laurent Blanc and Unai Emery, three highly decorated coaching personalities failed, Thomas Tuchel has had to deal with the pressure since 2018 to focus everything on the Champions League success.
“But I’m also sure that they are always able to score six to seven goals. It’s a super strong team. It will be a very difficult task. ” – Tuchel about BVB
National titles have little meaning and are taken for granted. In the most important European club competition, however, the Parisians have not made it past the round of 16 in the last three years.
Tuchel’s bad memories of the previous year
Especially the disappointment from the previous year, when the blue-red-whites did not make it into the quarter-finals despite a 2-0 away win in the first leg at Manchester United, should surely still buzz around in one or the other actor. If 2020 is back in the round of the last 16 end stations, the days of Tuchel under the Eiffel Tower should be numbered.
As a result, it is not surprising that the German coach waived numerous stars at the dress rehearsal in Amiens at the weekend. Mbappé, Neymar and Meunier were not even on the lineup. Verratti, Marquinhos or Bernat sat on the bench for long stretches of the game. In the end, the favorite had to be content with a spectacular 4: 4. Of course, no one doubts about the third championship in a row or the seventh in the past eight years.
Was Paris the best team in the group stage?
Nevertheless, the full focus of the Champions League applies, where the star ensemble made a strong impression in the group phase, collecting 16 out of a possible 18 points, conceding only two goals (best value!) And also real Madrid in second place. The Parisians have won nine of the last twelve games in the premier class.
Regardless of this, between Dortmund and PSG we think the tip of an away win is too risky, since the Tuchel team have so far failed to provide proof that they can actually deliver the best performance in big, important games.
There is also a smaller question mark behind the use of Neymar, which will most likely be available and forms a high-quality offensive with Mbappé, Icardi and Di Maria. Defensive, on the other hand, the guests seem to be cracking, which underlines eight goals in the recent four national competitive matches.
Probable team of PSG:
↳ Navas – Meunier, Thiago Silva, Kimpembe, Juan Bernat – Marquinhos, Verratti – di Maria, Neymar – Icardi, Mbappé
Last games from PSG:
⚽️ 02/15/2020 – Amiens vs. PSG 4: 4 (Ligue 1)
⚽️ 02/12/2020 – FCO Dijon vs. PSG 1: 6 (Coupe de France)
⚽️ 02/09/2020 – PSG vs. Lyon 4-2 (Ligue 1)
⚽️ 02/04/2020 – FC Nantes vs. PSG 1: 2 (Ligue 1)
⚽️ 02/01/2020 – PSG vs. Montpellier 5-0 (Ligue 1)
Dortmund vs PSG Direct comparison
The only two matches that the clubs have played at competitive level so far date back to 2010. At that time, Dortmund and Paris St. Germain met in the group stage of the UEFA Europa League.
In Signal-Iduna Park it was 1: 1 after 90 minutes; In the Prinzenpark, the teams parted goalless two weeks later. Only Mats Hummels, Lukas Piszczek and Mario Götze from today’s BVB squad were on the field nine years ago. Influence on Dortmund vs PSG prediction from Tuesday, of course, do not have the only two direct duels.
Dortmund vs PSG Betting Odds and Predictions by PicksSoccer.com
Dinner is served! In the first knockout round of the UEFA Champions League there will be a match between Dortmund and PSG on Tuesday evening. When looking at the betting odds of the best bookmakers, it becomes clear that the French are not only favored in terms of progressing to the quarter-finals, but also for the game in the Signal Iduna Park.
However, we do not necessarily comply with this basic assessment, because the black and yellow have been unbeaten since April 2019. So no cross-competition home game was lost in the entire season, even though FC Barcelona or Inter Milan had already given their visiting card in front of the South Stand.
⭐️ Dortmund vs PSG Betting odds & other interesting bets at a glance:
🔹 Betting Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
🔸 Odds: 1.40
🔹 Betting Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
🔸 Odds: 3.00
🔹 Betting Prediction: Both teams to score/ YES
🔸 Odds: 1.40
🔹 Betting Prediction: Both teams to score/ NO
The Favre team got off to a very positive start in the second half despite being eliminated from the DFB Cup and losing in Leverkusen. The 22 goals scored in just five league games alone underscore the existing self-confidence of the Borussia, who face the big task on Tuesday evening to find the right balance between courageous offensive and stable defensive.
We are convinced that BVB will achieve a good first leg result with the loud support of its own fans. We even venture a tip on home win between Dortmund and PSG and argue above all with the recent enthusiasm shown in the attack and the fact that, from experience, the guests from Paris tend not to be able to bring their full horsepower to the pitch in important knockout matches.
Competition: Champions League
Date: Feb 18, 2020
Betting Prediction: 1
Stake: 6/10 units