The top favorites in men’s singles at the Australian Open are not naked. On Wednesday, both Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer confidently entered the third round of the first Grand Slam. The Serb and the Swiss did not deliver a sentence.
John Millman vs Roger Federer Tennis Betting Tips
Competition: Australian Open ATP
Date: January 24, 2020
Betting Tips victory at home +7.5
Odds: 2.2
Stake: 6/10 units
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While the clear success of the Joker against the Japanese Ito was to be expected, the more than smooth victory of King Roger against the strong Serb Filip Krajinovic was particularly impressive. The next duel will be an even bigger challenge for the Swiss. In the duel with John Millman, he not only meets a formidable opponent, but also has to fight against the Australian audience.
Although Federer has a large fan colony all over the world, the spectators in Down Under will of course keep their fingers crossed for their local hero. This does not change anything about the favorites before the match and the odds for a tip are very one-sided between John Millman and Roger Federer. Number 3 in the world gets a 1.05 odds for victory, while outsider bets are quoted in double digits.
The match will take place on Friday and will most likely take place in the Rod Laver Arena.
John Millman – Statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 47.
Position in the seed list: unset
The Australians are traditionally very good at their home Grand Slam Cup. This can also be seen this year and one of the positive surprises is clearly John Millman. At position 47 in the world rankings, he went straight into the tournament and was able to assert himself twice as an underdog. In round 1 he beat Ugo Humbert in four sets.
The success in round 2 against Poland’s Hubert Hurkacz was even clearer. In this encounter, the 30-year-old particularly impressed with his outstanding return game. He was able to take the service game from his opponents a total of eight times and thus compensate well for his own five conceded breaks.
With your own serve, you have to improve further if you want to have at least an approximate chance against Federer in round 3. A break against the powerful tennis legend from Switzerland is not that easy.
From the baseline, the Australian is a very solid player who doesn’t have the big guns of the top stars on the scene. He comes more from Constance and has to outgrow himself on Friday if he wants to stand up to the big favorite. The audience will certainly stand behind Millman and give him the best possible support.
Together with the fans, he wants to sell himself as expensive as possible, and winning a set would be a sense of achievement. Between Millman and Federer, the prediction at only partially convincing odds that the Australian will have to sail after three sets is most likely.
Last matches by John Millman:
🎾 01/22/2020 – Millman vs. Hurkacz 6-4, 7-5, 6-3 (Australian Open)
🎾 01/21/2020 – Millman vs. Humbert 7-6, 6-3, 1-6, 7-5 (Australian Open)
🎾 Jan 16, 2020 – Pair vs. Millman 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 (Auckland)
🎾 Jan 15, 2020 – Millman vs. Khachanov 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 (Auckland)
🎾 Jan 14, 2020 – Millman vs. Mmoh 7-6, 6-4 (Auckland)
Roger Federer – Statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 3.
Position in the seed list: 3.
Roger Federer did it again. He is in top form for the Grand Slam tournament in Melbourne. The Swiss did not complete a single match in preparation, which he can afford with his 38 years and extensive experience. He knows exactly what is important and was able to tap his potential from the first rally.
The maestro did not burn anything against either Steve Johnson from the USA or Filip Krajinovic from Serbia. The Swiss player has only received one break in his previous two matches. Federer served 14 aces against Krajinovic on Wednesday and he made no double mistakes.
If he repeats these impressive numbers over the next few rounds, his way will go deep into the second week. It remains to be seen whether he will have a chance against his arch rivals Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic in the end. In round 3, Australian John Millman should definitely not be too challenging.
Basically Federer can only beat himself in this match and if he keeps his nerve, his playful class is enough to take the next clear victory. The odds for a tip on the winner are so clearly distributed between Millman and Federer, because the Maestro has advantages in all respects.
The trump cards are in the hands of the Swiss in terms of both serve and variability from the baseline. If he can keep the concentration high for the entire duration of the match, it will be difficult for the outsider to win even a single set.
Last matches of Roger Federer:
🎾 01/22/2020 – Federer vs. Krajinovic 6-1, 6-4, 6-1 (Australian Open)
🎾 01/20/2020 – Federer vs. Johnson 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 (Australian Open)
Millman vs Federer – Head to Head Statistics
There aren’t too many players who can claim to have beaten Roger Federer at a Grand Slam tournament before. John Millman actually can. He sensationally beat the Swiss in the round of 16 at the 2018 US Open.
Even then, Millman had double-digit odds of winning against Federer. In four sentences, however, he asserted himself and then played the tennis of his life. The other two matches went to the Swiss. Among other things, Federer won last season’s duel on the Halle turf. However, the match a year and a half from New York should encourage the underdog that he is not entirely without a chance on Friday.
At least he should be able to make the match more open than Roger Federer’s first two opponents made it to this year’s Australian Open. For this reason, a prognosis in the direction of the Australian handicap is not a bad idea between Millman and Roger Federer.
John Millman vs Roger Federer Australian Open Tennis Betting Tips by PicksSoccer.com
Of course, it would be a great sensation if Roger Federer retired in the third round of the Austrian Open. This is truly not to be expected. However, there are already some indications that, from the Australian perspective, give courage that John Millman can at least keep up with the Swiss.
On the one hand, the audience is of course a factor, because the fans will whip the outsider forward. In addition, the shape of Millman is right, because the 30-year-old made strong appearances in the first two rounds.
The most important argument, however, is the duel between the two players a year and a half ago at the US Open 2018. Back then, the starting point for bookmakers was similar to this time and Millman sensationally prevailed in four rounds.
Key Facts – John Millman vs Roger Federer tips
⭐️ Both players were convincing in their previous matches
⭐️ Federer has clear advantages in terms of play
⭐️ The Australian has beaten the Maestro at a Grand Slam tournament (US Open 2018)
That is why we think it makes the most sense on Friday to place a bet between John Millman and Roger Federer on the odds for a tip on the handicap. The Australian can also break the 7.5 games mark if he loses the match in just three sets. If he even wins a set, it looks very good with the bets on this selection.
The odds of over 2.0 mean that a probability of 50% is enough to play this tip profitably. This is given in any case and the value bet can therefore be played with a good conscience using six units.
Competition: Australian Open ATP
Date: 01/24/2020
Betting Tips: Handicap: victory at home +7.5
Odds: 2.2
Stake: 6/10 units
