Does the Russian also beat the third former number one? Let’s find out together in our tennis betting tips below!
While several favorites have already dropped out at the 108th edition of the Australian Open, the tournament for Garbine Muguruza and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova could hardly have gone better.
Muguruza vs Pavlyuchenkova Tennis Betting Tips
Both women have been among the top eight women in the traditional first Grand Slam of the season in the past. So far, neither has got past this round. In 2017, they both failed in the quarter-finals together. Last year was the final stop for the Russian alone in this round.
If Garbine Muguruza were to emerge from this quarter-finals, the two-time Grand Slam winner would again be in a semi-final of one of the four most important tournaments of the year in the semifinals for the first time since the semifinals of the Wimbledon Championships 2018.
Her Russian opponent, on the other hand, would reach the semi-finals of a Grand Slam tournament for the first time ever in the sixth attempt. This is one of the reasons why Garbine Muguruza versus Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has the odds of bookmakers towards the Venezuelan-born Spaniard.
In our eyes, however, the value lies in betting on Garbine Muguruza against Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova on the Russian’s first semi-final.
After all, the 28-year-old recently beat two former world leaders in the form of Karolina Pliskova and Angelique Kerber to grab the ticket for this quarter-finals. Accordingly, she will by no means stand a chance against the third former number one in the world, which she now faces in series.
Garbine Muguruza – Statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 32.
Position in the seed list: unset
The 26-year-old Spaniard Garbine Muguruza narrowly missed the jump on the seed list as number 35 in the WTA world rankings at the Australian Open 2020. After the results of the first week of the tournament, she is back in the top 32 of the women in the ranking of the WTA Tour. In the run-up to the start of the tournament, however, it was still placed outside these areas.
Accordingly, she was very lucky with her first round when she was spared a set opponent and was instead drawn to qualifier Shelby Rogers. An outsider who would have almost given the Venezuelan-born Spaniard the third first-round end in a Grand Slam tournament in a row.
After Garbine Muguruza lost her opening match at the Wimbledon Championships 2019 and the US Open 2019, she finally had to give up the first set in Melbourne. Above all, the how worried their followers. The first set was lost 0: 6.
Then, however, the Spaniard turned up and gave only one game to win 2-1. A great comeback that would not have been possible in this form in a mixed year 2019, in which the two-time Grand Slam winner only showed at the tournament in Monterrey and won individual title number seven on the WTA Tour.
In fact, the desired new beginning of the former top of the world ranking seems to be fruitful. After not having been very happy with her last coaching decisions – most recently she separated from Sam Sumyk after the end of the first round in Wimbledon – she went back to the roots, so to speak.
With Conchita Martinez she experienced some of her most successful years as a professional tennis player. A look at her performance data in the still young 2020 season shows that the duo is working. In Shenzhen, she won three games and had to give up in the semi-finals before solving the quarter-final ticket again in Hobart, but then releasing the game gave up without a fight to save the Australian Open in consultation with her trainer.
In connection with her four victories at the Australian Open 2020, she won nine of her ten individual games in the young season and was able to send the first two opponents from the top 10 of the WTA world rankings home.
At first, she didn’t give the 2018 world champion Elina Svitolina a chance at 6: 1 and 6: 2 in the third round before she followed another convincing 2-0 victory over Kiki Bertens in the second round (6: 3 and 6: 3).
Last but not least, because here the true potential of the former number one in the world shone through, Garbine Muguruza against Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is now turning the odds of the bookmakers towards the Spaniard.
Last matches from Garbine Muguruza:
🎾 01/27/2020 – Muguruza vs. Bertens 6-3, 6-3 (Australian Open)
🎾 01/25/2020 – Muguruza vs. Svitolina 6-1, 6-2 (Australian Open)
🎾 01/23/2020 – Muguruza vs. Tomljanovic 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 (Australian Open)
🎾 01/21/2020 – Muguruza vs. Rogers 0-6, 6-1, 6-0 (Australian Open)
🎾 16.01.2020 – Kudermetova vs. Muguruza (Hobart)
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova – Statistics & current form
Current position in the world rankings: 30.
Position in the seed list: 30.
The season opener of 28-year-old Russian Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is also definitely impressive. In the run-up to the Australian Open 2020, she won only one of her three single games of the young season, but was able to defeat an opponent there with Anett Kontaveit, who in turn made it into the quarter-finals of the big tournament down under.
In general, she only played against women before the Australian Open, who are now among the top eight women in the world at the first Grand Slam tournament of the new year. In this context, it must be stated that their two 1-2 losses to Petra Kvitova and Ashleigh Barty in Brisbane and Adelaide could both have turned out differently.
In the course of the tournament so far, she has proven that she doesn’t have to hide from seasoned top 10 players. With Karolina Pliskova, she beat the current world number two smoothly with 2: 0 in the third round, even if in both sets the tie break had to be brought about in the end.
Most recently, she also had the upper hand against the up-and-coming, but also somewhat injured Angelique Kerber and turned a 0: 1 deficit into a victory that, after 2017 and 2019, gave her the starting position in the quarter-finals of the Australian for the third time in four years in four years Open gives.
For the sixth time in her career, she can fight for the semi-finals of a Grand Slam tournament on Wednesday. However, the fact that Garbine Muguruza against Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has a bad idea that after Karolina Pliskova and Angelique Kerber she eliminated the third former number one in the world for this is not a good star, possibly because her five attempts so far have not been successful were.
So far the Grand Slams have always said: Up to here and no further. Both times she lost to the Australian Open in the quarterfinals of her opponent 0: 2. Without a doubt, however, she will now do everything to take her chance this time.
Last matches from Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova:
🎾 01/27/2020 – Pavlyuchenkova vs. Kerber 6-7, 7-6, 6-2 (Australian Open)
🎾 01/25/2020 – Pavlyuchenkova vs. Pliskova 7-6, 7-6 (Australian Open)
🎾 01/23/2020 – Pavlyuchenkova vs. Townsend 7-5, 7-6 (Australian Open)
🎾 01/22/2020 – Pavlyuchenkova vs. Stojanovic 6-1, 7-5 (Australian Open)
🎾 Jan 14, 2020 – Barty vs. Pavlyuchenkova 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 (Adelaide)
Muguruza vs Pavlyuchenkova – Head to Head Statistics
Head to head: 4: 1
There have been five encounters between Garbine Muguruza and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova so far and with four games won, the Spaniard leads the resulting head to head comparison very clearly.
Particularly noteworthy is the fact that the 26-year-old was able to win all three duels on hard court, which is not only played here in Melbourne, but which is considered the strength of her Russian opponent. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, however, only won a match on clay against the Spaniard, who gave up in this game after losing the first set.
The “head to head” comparison is still easy to enjoy with caution, since both women have not been in conflict since summer 2018. The last comparison on hard court dates back to late summer 2016.
Garbine Muguruza vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Australian Open Tennis Betting Tips by PicksSoccer.com
In our eyes, there was an exciting duel at eye level between two women in the bottom section of the tournament tree, which were also close to each other in the run-up to the WTA world rankings.
In fact, we agree with the bookmakers’ assessment that the Spaniard is favored in the match after her recent two 2-0 victories. However, Garbine Muguruza’s lack of consistency is a constant factor. She seldom managed to bring her best tennis onto the court across an entire tournament. If it worked, she won the big titles, which the Russian still lacks.
⭐️ Muguruza vs Pavlyuchenkova Betting odds comparison – Australian Open 2020
Betting Tips: Garbine Muguruza
Betting Tips: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Key facts – Garbine Muguruza vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova tips
⭐️ Muguruza leads 4: 1 in direct comparison and won all three games on hard court
⭐️ Pavlyuchenkova has never survived the quarter-finals of a Grand Slam in five attempts
⭐️ Muguruza is the third former world number one in a row that Pavlyuchenkova has to deal with
Nevertheless, we expect the Spaniard to have a 60% chance of winning. However, because at Muguruza against Pavlyuchenkova a odds of 2.75 are announced for the Russian victory, a 37% probability of occurrence is sufficient to create a positive expected value for the outsider bet.
From a mathematical point of view, it is therefore advisable to play Muguruza against Pavlyuchenkova on the advancement of the 28-year-old Russian. However, we would like to point out that betting odds can still change. So if at the time of the odds comparison you find a odds of at least 1.70 for the Spanish win, the value will shift to Garbine Muguruza.
Competition: Australian Open WTA
Date: January 29, 2020
Betting Tips: 2
Stake: 2.75 / 10 units