This Friday, January 12, 2018 the Sheffield Derby will be played when the Sheffield United team receives Sheffield Wednesday for the 27th day of the Championship being the opening game of that day and that promises us emotions and a closed competition for playing the game. honor in the Derby.
To begin it is important to remember that both squads are in opposite situations, since Sheffield United is in the fight for positions that accredit the Play-offs in search of promotion, while Wednesday, is in the lower-middle part of the table and needs to add urgently to avoid the risk of descent to the League One.
However, in games like these you forget the position in the table and the performance, since being the direct rival of the city both teams will go all out for the victory and for Bet365, it is the local who leaves as favorite and we can observe in the installments:
– Sheffield United FC: 1.80
– Draw: 3.50
– Sheffield Wednesday FC: 5.50
Those shares reflect a great inclination on the part of the mass of bettors and the house in favor of the local, as they have had a better performance throughout the season, however, in the performance of their last 10 games have been much to duty, since they are located among the 5 worst squads as Wednesday, so this match from my point of view will be closed for performance and for being a Derby. My idea is based on a probabilistic calculation made by me and that showed the following percentages:
– Sheffield United FC: 38.40%
– Draw: 28.02%
– Sheffield Wednesday FC: 33.58%
When observing these percentages I have decided for a Draw, given the pressure of being the worst teams in the Championship in the performance of the last 10 games and also, by “owning” the city obtaining a good result, and thus , an average gain of 0.97 is expected for every 2 units wagered.
Prediction Today: Draw (X)