Thun vs Lugano Football Predictions 28/02/2019

Seven of the eight remaining teams in the Swiss Cup are represented in the Super League, the only outsider is the second division from Kriens. Three of the four quarter-finals are scheduled this week. Only in the coming week Lucerne calls the champion Young Boys. On Thursday evening there will be a Super League match between FC Thun and Lugano in the Bernese Oberland!

Today’s Football Prediction Thun vs Lugano

For the hosts from Thun, the trip to the final would be a short trip, finally, on 19 May 2019, the final will be held in the Helvetia Swiss Cup in the Stade de Suisse of Bern. FC Thun has been playing an outstanding season so far and, as third in the table, has a comfortable lead over the competition. The Europa League ticket beckons in the league and accordingly freed Thun can play. The guests from Lugano are currently eighth and four points ahead of the relegation place. In the league, the two teams are separated by 13 counters. Similarly, the role of favorites in the duel between Thun and Lugano according to current rates. For the home win in the regular season, the odds are just below the mark of 2.00! The start of the artificial turf in the Stockhorn Arena is on Thursday at 19:30.

Thun – Statistics & Current Form

In contrast to the financially strong competition, FC Thun has been packing smaller rolls for many years. Financially, the Elf from the Bernese Oberland certainly can not keep up with the clubs from Zurich, sporting, however, presents the team of head coach Marc Schneider absolutely outstanding. Behind local rivals Young Boys Bern and FC Basel Thun is currently ranked third in the table. The lead on FC Zurich, currently fourth, is already seven proud. Although there are still 14 match days to play in the Swiss Super League, in the current state the underdog can hardly take the ticket to Europe.

Big stars can not be found in the squad of FC Thun. Rather, the team from Bern acts as a homogeneous, compact unit, which convinces above all by a strong offensive. With 44 hits Thun is the second best offensive. Anyway, it will never be boring at the Schneider-Elf games, because 31 goals in 22 games are not necessarily enough for a top team. In the calendar year 2019, Thun has so far remained unbeaten. The table third presented itself unfamiliarly strong. The guest appearances at cup opponents Lugano and FC Sankt Gallen were each won 3-1. In the local Stockhorn arena Thun parted in the derby of the Young Boys and in a duel with the Grasshoppers each 1-1.

“I do not deny the thought of the European Cup, that would be naive. We’re in the top of the table and it’s going well. But we are sticking to our season goal league preservation. ” – Sporting director Andres Gerber

In view of the current situation on the table and the strong performances, the statements of sporting director Andres Gerber seem a bit like low-stakes. The season goal continues to be the league. However, Thun has learned from the mistakes of the past and tries to stay down-to-earth with humility. Over the years, a strong team has formed that is hard to beat at home (5-5-1 balance sheet). The form fits, the home strength is in place – to that effect, Thun against Lugano according to odds and our prediction rightly the clear favorite. In the end, even lower betting odds than the 1.96 would have been expected.

Expected formation of Thun:
Faivre – Joss, Rodrigues, Sutter, Glarner – Minstrel, Gelmi, Stillhart – Salanovic, Sorgic, Constanzo

Last matches of Thun:

  • 24.02.2019 – Thun Vs. Grasshoppers 1: 1 (Super League)
  • 16.02.2019 – St. Gallen Vs. Thun 1: 3 (Super League)
  • 10.02.2019 – Thun Vs. Young Boys 1: 1 (Super League)
  • 06.02.2019 – Lugano Vs. Thun 1: 3 (Super League)

Lugano – Statistics & Current Form

In October 2018 Fabio Celestini returned to the Betreuerbank. The long-time coach of Lausanne-Sports took over the duties of young Spanish coach Guillermo Abascal in Lugano. The only 29-year-old (!) Had to pack his bags after 19 competitive games with an average of 1.42 points per game. His successor Celestini has been responsible for 14 competitive games for Lugano, but has a much weaker cut. With four wins and four draws Celestini comes to only 1.14 points per game. The primary goal at Lugano is the league. Due to the weakening competition and the lead of five points (in tenth place) and four points (on relegation place nine) Celestini is not in the criticism. A look at the last competitive games is not necessarily positive. With the exception of the 3: 0 victory against FC Lucerne on 16 February, there were almost only setbacks to cope with. The success in the swissporaena of Lucerne was the only victory in the last ten competitive games! While the form of FC Thun can be described as quite positive, the shape curve of Lugano shows clearly downwards. This is not changed by a close, unfortunate 0-1 defeat to champions YBB (conceding in minute 93).

Against the sovereign leader of the league Lugano was mainly occupied with defensive tasks and could rarely put accents forward. The FC Thun may not be as dominant as the Young Boys, but it is feared that Lugano can probably create only a few opportunities for goal. To make matters worse, Celestini has to change the well-functioning four-chain from the YBB game. Center-back Mijat Maric was carried away seconds after the bitter goal to assassinate and will miss the Cup fight. The failure of the 34-year-old weighs heavily, because on the defensive alternatives are sown extremely rare.

The last away games were won, but the success in Lucerne was only the second away win in the eleventh game. The 2-4-5 balance is clearly negative. Due to the weak form and the Maric lock is in the cup match between Thun and Lugano a tip on the outsider by no means recommended.

Expected formation of Lugano:
Baumann – Daprela, Kesckes, Yao, Mihajlovic – Carlinhos, Sabbatini, Covilo, Vecsel – Bottani – Gerndt

Last matches of Lugano:

  • 24.02.2019 – Lugano Vs. Young Boys 0: 1 (Super League)
  • 16.02.2019 – Lucerne vs. Lugano 0: 3 (Super League)
  • 10.02.2019 – Sion Vs. Lugano 2: 2 (Super League)
  • 06.02.2019 – Lugano Vs. Thun 1: 3 (Super League)
  • 26.01.2019 – Lugano Vs. Innsbruck 1: 0 (friendly)

Thun vs Lugano Direct Comparison

Surprisingly, the team from the Bernese Oberland Thun does not have such good memories of FC Lugano. In the past season 2017/18, the FC Thun was in four league games actually without full success against the team from the French Switzerland. In addition to two draws, the underdog from Lugano was able to prevail twice. Also in the fall of 2018 held this series and Lugano first reached a 1-1 draw in the Stockhorn Arena, before the home game were won 2-1. After no less than seven unsuccessful attempts, FC Thun was again able to celebrate a victory against Lugano on 6 February. In the first competitive match of 2019, Thun prevailed 3: 1 thanks to an outstanding Marvin Spielmann in the Cornaredo Stadium of Lugano.

Thun vs Lugano Football Prediction

The FC Thun is considered by the down-to-earth nature and the attractive game as a popular figure in Swiss football. The self-confidence is clearly felt and in a tough situation, the Elf from the Bernese Oberland always finds the right decision again and again. For the first time Thun will compete in the Cup at home this season and is considered a clear favorite. In the current constitution, a prediction on the home win is obvious in the knockout duel between Thun and Lugano.

Key facts – Thun vs Lugano tips

Thun is still unbeaten in 2019 – two wins, two draws!
At the beginning of February Thun won 3-1 against Lugano!
Lugano celebrated only one victory in the last ten competitive games!

The home side play a very compliant offensive football and bristle thanks to the strong constitution with confidence. Although the Schneider-Elf could not win the first two home games in 2019 (each 1-1 draw) are between Thun and Lugano, the odds on the home win clearly set too high. A cup match is a bit to be enjoyed with caution, but realistic would be here probably maximum odds of 1.80 for the Thun victory.

Prediction Today: 1
Odds: 1.96

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