Valencia vs Levante Betting Predictions and Odds
Are the bats celebrating a clear derby win?
Game: Valencia – Levante
Competition: LaLiga
Date: June 12, 2020
Betting Prediction: Handicap: victory at home -1.5
Odds: 2.9
Stake: 5/10 units
Football-free time is also coming to an end in Spain. However, the approach on the Iberian Peninsula is completely different from that in Germany. Football is now played every day in the Spanish LaLiga. The first matchday after the La Liga re-start will open on Thursday with the Andalusian derby in Seville and will end on Sunday. A derby is not only on the program on Thursday, but also on Friday in the duel between Valencia and Levante.
The “Derby del Turia” is the neighborhood duel in Valencia and the chances of a success of the guests seem only theoretical. Given that between Valencia and Levante the prediction of a guest win in Mestalla has never been correct, betting on Levante is not advisable.
The favorite role is clearly reassigned to the home side not only because of the direct comparison. A look at the table service betting base shows Valencia in seventh place, while guests are shown in 13th place. Valencia can still flirt with the renewed qualification for the premier class eleven rounds before the end, but a derby victory is absolutely necessary for this.
Valencia – Statistics & current form
The last competitive game of bats by head coach Albert Celades was used in many places as one of the main sources for the spread of the coronavirus in Spain. Almost exactly three months ago, the team welcomed the Lombard debutant Atalanta Bergamo in the second leg of the UEFA Champions League round of 16. The trip from Valencia to the premier class ended with a 3: 4 defeat.
Just one win in the last five LaLiga duels
Given the performance in March, the long lockdown was not necessarily a disadvantage for Valencia. Not only did they have to cope with the end of the UEFA Champions League, but Valencia only won the last five league games in their home league. Due to the poor shape, the team slipped to seventh place and is now four points behind the coveted Champions League fourth place.
The defensive in particular revealed enormous problems, because games without a goal are an absolute rarity. The last time this happened was on February 1st. With veteran Ezequiel Garay, an important pillar in central defense is still missing, and Eliaquim Mangala is still out. Now Gabriel Paulista threatens to fail, who injured himself slightly at the beginning of the week. A mission on Friday becomes a race against time.
No defeat in the Mestalla for Valencia
The problems on the defensive cannot be dismissed out of hand, but the home strength must also be mentioned. Valencia have not lost a home game in the Spanish LaLiga so far this season. The last home defeat went to Valencia on April 28, 2019.
Valencia played 14 games at home this season, celebrating eight wins and drawing six times. On Friday in the derby between Valencia and Levante, a prediction on the home side is certainly a good choice due to the home strength.
Probable lineup of Valencia:
Cillessen – Gaya, Paulista, Diakhaby, Wass – Soler, Parejo, Coquelin, Ferran Torres – Rodrigo, Maxi Gomez
Last games from Valencia:
Champions League final
03/10 2020 Valencia 3-4 Atalanta Bergamo
LaLiga
03/06 2020 Deportivo Alaves 1 – 1 Valencia
02/29 2020 Valencia 2 – 1 Real Betis
02/22 2020 San Sebastian 3 – 0 Valencia
Champions League final
02/19 2020 Atalanta Bergamo 4 – 1 Valencia
Levante – Statistics & current form
The local rival of Valencia, with almost 40 kilometers between the two venues, has the best chance of being represented in the Spanish football upper house in the coming season. After returning to LaLiga, the club under Paco Lopez each finished 15th in the past two seasons. Levante is currently in 13th place and already has a comfortable cushion of eight points on the first relegation zone.
Sekt or Selters – three away wins, eleven losses
A look at the table also shows that betting on a draw at Levante has so far been anything but profitable. Only three of the 27 league games ended with a division of points, no other team in the Spanish football upper house drew less often. Above all abroad, the motto has been “sparkling wine or wine”. Three wins face a total of eleven losses.
A main reason for the extremely weak performances abroad (only three teams scored fewer away points) are the many goals conceded abroad. Levante has already conceded a goal in away games 28 times. Only promoted Mallorca (30) has conceded more goals. This is surprising for Levante due to the fact that the defensive at home is a big plus (twelve goals conceded).
Only two wins in the calendar year 2020
Before the forced break, the medium-sized company was by no means outstanding. In the current calendar year, only two of the nine previous La Liga games could be designed victorious. However, Levante has to be credited for the fact that there was an increasing form just before the break. After four defeats at the start, seven points were collected in five games.
Despite the long break, Levante has to go without attacking players Ruben Rochina and Hernani and defender Robert Pier in the derby on Friday evening due to injury. However, hopes rest on top scorer Roger Marti anyway. The 29-year-old, who comes from the Valencia youth team, is the best scorer with eleven goals. However, only two hits were scored on someone else’s pitch.
Probable lineup of Levante:
Fernandez – Clerc, Gonzalez, Vezo, Miramon – Bardhi, Vukcevic, Radoja, Campana – Morales, Marti
Last games from Levante:
LaLiga
03/08 2020 Levante 1 – 1 Granada
02/29 2020 Eibar 3 – 0 Levante
02/22 2020 Levante 1 – 0 real Madrid
02/15 2020 Villarreal FC 2 – 1 Levante
02/08 2020 Levante 2 – 0 Leganes
Valencia vs Levante Direct comparison
The local derby in Valencia has mostly been a clear affair for the favorite bats. A total of 35 duels can be found in the database, of which Valencia won 19 games and Levante celebrated only eight successes against their big neighbor.
Since Levante’s return to LaLiga (season 2017/18), all games between Valencia and Levante have ended with a successful bet on goals from both teams. Goals are guaranteed to appear on Friday evening. Despite an early 2-0 deficit, Valencia decided the first leg 4-2.
Odds probabilities for win Valencia / draw / win Levante:
1: 56% X: 23% 2: 21%
Valencia vs Levante Betting odds & other interesting bets at a glance:
Betting Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.61
Betting Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.30
Betting Prediction: Both teams to score/ YES
Odds: 1.57
Betting Prediction: Both teams to score/ NO
Odds: 2.25
Valencia vs Levante Betting Predictions and Odds by PicksSoccer Experts
The signs in the Derby del Turia seem to be clear. The home side have not yet suffered defeat at home, while in eleven of the 14 games the guests had to go home on foreign territory without counting anything. In addition, Levante has never won history in Mestalla. With these statistics, the tip on the home side is absolutely obvious on the late Friday evening between Valencia and Levante.
Key facts – Valencia vs Levante tips
Valencia have not yet lost a home game this season (8-6-0 record)
The last five duels all ended with goals from both teams
Three away wins, eleven losses – Levante is one of the weakest away teams in the league
Although questions remain unanswered after the long break, not only does the bet on home win seem a good choice, but also that of a clear success for the Celades team.
Odds of just under 3.00 are offered between Valencia and Levante. Due to the strong Valencia home record and the weak results of Levante abroad, coupled with several goals conceded, these bets are extremely lucrative and offer value – even without spectators in the stadium. Five units are recommended in the derby.
LaLiga
06/11 2020 Seville – Real Betis
06/12 2020 Granada – Getafe
06/12 2020 Valencia – Levante
06/13 2020 Espanyol – Deportivo Alaves
06/13 2020 Celta Vigo – Villarreal FC
06/13 2020 Leganes – Real Valladolid
06/13 2020 Mallorca – Barcelona
06/14 2020 Athletic Bilbao – Atletico Madrid
06/14 2020 Real Madrid – Eibar
06/14 2020 San Sebastian – Osasuna Pamplona
