Aston Villa vs Burnley Betting Predictions and Odds – Premier League
Will Villa end the lean period at home?
Match: Aston Villa vs Burnley
Competition: Premier League
Date: 17.12.2020
Betting Tips Aston Villa
Odds: 1.76
Stake: 5/10 units
Both Aston Villa and Burnley FC managed a 1-0 away win against strong opponents at the weekend. Villa prevailed in Wolverhampton. The Clarets won at Arsenal. Now both teams want to build on this coup in this English week. The home side has done much better so far and has already scored twice as many points as the guests from the east of Lancashire.
However, it can be stated that the Lions are no power at home in Villa Park. Dean Smith’s team earned only six of their 18 points in their own stadium. Two home wins at the start of the season were followed by three defeats in a row. Only twice in the top English league did a team have four home failures followed by two opening wins at home: Nottingham Forest in 1904/05 and Newcastle United in 1953/54.
Aston Villa – stats & current form
Aston Villa had lost four of the last five league games after a strong start to the season when they went to England’s West Midlands at the weekend. Five minutes before the end of the game, Douglas Luiz flew off the field with yellow and red. Everything looked like the next game without a threesome.
But then Anwar El Ghazi came and scored the winning goal in the fourth minute of stoppage time away from the Wolves. The Lions continued a remarkable record: No other team in the Premier League scored more winning goals after the 90th minute than Dean Smith’s team.
The defence needs more compactness again
Nevertheless, “The Claret & Blue Army” is counted in this home game at Villa Park, where there were last three consecutive home defeats. This shows that the momentum of the strong start to the season has been increasingly lost.
In addition, the powder seems to have been completely shot in the own stadium in the remarkable 7-2 over Liverpool FC. From the last three home bankruptcies, there is finally a goal difference of 4: 9. The defensive, in particular, must therefore regain compactness.
Almost everything goes through Jack Grealish
The clear win at the Wolves, which we now need to build on, was all the more gratifying. It should again depend on Jack Grealish whether Aston Villa’s tip 1 against Burnley will work out in the end. The Lions captain was involved in 40% of all 148 shots on goal made by the Birmingham team in the 2020/21 season. He fired 30 shots himself and his passes created 29 chances.
Ironically, this very important player in Dean Smith’s team was once again negative in the press during the week. After repeated traffic offences, the day before this home game against the Clarets, he was judged to have his driver’s license revoked for nine months. One can only hope for his team that this hype on the field will not affect him further.
The probable lineup of Aston Villa:
Martínez – Targett – Mings – Konsa – Cash – McGinn – Ramsey – Barkley – Grealish – Traoré – Watkins
Last matches from Aston Villa:
Premier League
12/12 2020 Wolverhampton 0 – 1 Aston Villa
11/30 2020 West Ham 2 – 1 Aston Villa
11/21 2020 Aston Villa 1 – 2 Brighton
11/08 2020 Arsenal London 0 – 3 Aston Villa
11/01 2020 Aston Villa 3 – 4 Southampton
Burnley – Statistics & Current Form
Burnley FC started the 2020/21 season very badly, although the tenth of the preseason actually went into the fifth consecutive season in the English top division with a lot of tailwinds.
A strong season, in which the Clarets had absolutely nothing to do with relegation, did not protect the club from east Lancashire from being without a win for the first seven league games in a row. The coach question was of course not asked of Sean Dyche, who had been in office for eight years.
Last seven out of twelve possible points
With this calm, those responsible should ultimately be right. Of the last four league games, the Clarets only lost one more game and earned seven out of a possible twelve points in their first two wins in the new Premier League season.
On Sunday Burnley even disenchanted Arsenal FC away, where the Clarets were last able to celebrate an away win in 1974. Nevertheless, it can be stated that the guests did not contribute too much to this away win. The men from the north of England just defended everything for over 90 minutes and waited for Arsenal to beat themselves, which also happened with Xhaka dismissal and Aubameyang own goal.
Only six goals from eleven league games
In the meantime, the game did not lead to too much in the Clarets, as the only six goals scored from the eleven league games played so far testify to this. Precisely for this reason, the odds against Sean Dyche’s team speak in advance of the clash between Aston Villa and Burnley.
The probable lineup of Burnley:
Pope-Taylor-Mee-Tarkowski-Lowton-McNeil-Brady-Brownhill-Westwood-Rodriguez-Wood
Last games from Burnley:
Premier League
12/13 2020 Arsenal London 0 – 1 Burnley
12/05 2020 Burnley 1 – 1 Everton
11/28 2020 Manchester City 5 – 0 Burnley
11/23 2020 Burnley 1 – 0 Crystal Palace
11/06 2020 Brighton 0 – 0 Burnley
Aston Villa vs Burnley – Direct comparison / H2H balance
Head to head: 51-27-40
There have been a total of 118 clashes between the two teams so far and Aston Villa leads the direct comparison with 51 wins. Most recently Burnley could only win one of the last six duels in the league but celebrated a 1-0 away win at Villa Park on May 24, 2015.
Aston Villa vs Burnley Betting Predictions and Odds by PicksSoccer Experts
At Aston Villa against Burnley, the prognosis must take into account the Clarets’ lack of offensive penetration. The fact that with only six goals scored from eleven games is currently no relegation place on record is a small miracle.
Key Facts – Aston Villa vs Burnley tips
Aston Villa have lost the last three home games in a row
Burnley has only scored six goals from the previous eleven league games
Aston Villa have only lost one of their last six league games to Burnley
We suspect a match with few goals, but see the greater value in betting on the home win of the Lions, who have already scored twice as many points as the Clarets.
